How many hispanics by 2050

The Center has developed three different population projections for , but the body of this report presents findings from the main projection figures from projections based on lower or higher immigration levels are set forth in a section that starts on page These projections consolidate and build upon past trends, present conditions, and factors affecting future behavior.

None of the projections should be treated as predictions. Even given these caveats, however, population projections are an important analytical tool for planners. Demographic change has major implications for government spending in key areas such as schools, health programs, community services, infrastructure and Social Security. Projections also provide business with a basis upon which to make judgments about future markets.

And they are of increasing interest because of the role that population may play in climate change and other environmental concerns. The models and assumptions are disaggregated by race and by Hispanic origin, as are many projection models e. When incorporating birth estimates into the projections, the Center has assumed that the overall fertility rate will remain near the level it has been for the past three decades, with differing rates by race and ethnicity Appendix, Figure A2.

Birthrates are assumed to be well above average for immigrants, slightly above average overall for the second generation U. Census Bureau, ; Social Security Administration, As for death rates, life expectancy is assumed to improve somewhat for all groups throughout the period covered by these projections.

Immigration to the United States has risen rapidly and steadily for decades as a result of increasing globalization and population movements, changes in U. Not only have the numbers of new U. In the face of these strong and persistent trends, most U. As a result, official projections over the last several decades have consistently underestimated actual population growth. The Pew Research Center projections have assumed that the annual immigration level, now about 1. Figure 3. This rate of growth is in line with, but somewhat slower than, the growth trends of the last several decades.

These immigration levels are slightly higher than those projected by either the Census Bureau or the Social Security Trustees in the short run and substantially higher toward the end of the projection horizon.

Immigrants who arrive after , and their U. Of the additional people attributable to the effect of new immigration, 67 million will be the immigrants themselves and 50 million will be their U.

The historic peak share was Future immigrants and their descendants will account for all growth in this group. Future immigrants and their descendants will account for all growth in this population segment. Immigration will account for only a small part of that growth. There were 59 children and elderly people per adults of working age in That will rise to 72 dependents per adults of working age in Both of these ratios are well above the current value of 59 dependents per people of working age.

As someone who has been told time and time again for 20 years that this trend is not true, it is fascinating to watch in live and in person.

Nice post. Wow, this is quite a collection of figures. Pretty incredible. On a side note, studies say that Spanish will surpass both English and Hindi in terms of global native speakers by the year Twitter Comment What will the U.

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